El Dorado, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

737
FXUS64 KSHV 280810
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
310 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 244 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

 - Climatologically consistent temperatures are expected to
   persist through the extended period, however, heat indices may
   approach or exceed advisory thresholds across portions of the
   region by early next week.

 - Diurnally driven convective activity will remain possible each
   afternoon, and while we could see more widespread activity next
   week, associated widespread QPF values are expected to remain
   minimal.

 - Guidance continues to indicate the potential advection of
   Saharan Dust into the Gulf early next week, which could impact
   our area on Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 244 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Not much change in the forecast for the rest of the weekend and
into next week from what the last two forecast packages have
discussed. Near to slightly above average temperatures along with
scattered, afternoon and early evening convection driven
primarily by diurnal instability will continue through much of
next week. One difference as we head into next week though is that
thunderstorms probabilities seem to be a little more widespread in
coverage across the region. Afternoon highs will be fairly
consistent each day through next Friday with temperatures ranging
from the lower to mid 90s each day. Lows will follow in a similar
pattern, with not much variability each night, generally ranging
from the lower to mid 70s each night.

Heat indices will remain elevated for today and Sunday, but
should remain just below our Heat Advisory criteria of 105
degrees. There could be some days next week where portions of the
area will exceed the threshold and could require a Heat Advisory,
but it still mostly seems borderline at best. Last thing to
mention is that guidance continues to support the arrival of a
Saharan Air Layer (SAL) or otherwise known as the Saharan Dust
early next week that could impact our region. Saharan Dust is
fairly typical for this time of the year as the Atlantic Trade
winds strengthen. The results of this could bring some increased
haze and reduced air quality. While I am closer to adding some
haze into the forecast, I will probably hold off for one more
night and then based on what I see tonight can add it then if the
day-shift does not.

/33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the 28/06z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions, with left over
cloud debris from earlier convection, to linger overnight. Can`t
rule out some patchy fog and low clouds in locations that
received rainfall this past evening. We should see VFR conditions
with scattered CU return by late morning today, with isolated to
widely scattered showers/thunderstorms developing once again in
the afternoon. The best chance for convection will likely be at
KLFK/KMLU and KELD, but can`t completely rule it out at other TAF
sites. This convection should diminish after sunset, leaving some
lingering mid and high clouds across the region. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 244 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Diurnally driven convection will be possible once again this
afternoon and early evening. These storms will be capable of
producing strong wind gusts, however, widespread severe
thunderstorms are not anticipated at this time so spotter
activation is not likely needed today or tonight. Nonetheless, any
reports would be appreciated from any of the stronger storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  77  95  78 /  10  10  20   0
MLU  95  75  95  75 /  20  10  30  10
DEQ  91  72  92  72 /  20  10  10   0
TXK  95  77  96  76 /  20  10  10   0
ELD  94  74  93  74 /  20  10  20  10
TYR  93  75  93  75 /   0   0  10   0
GGG  93  74  93  75 /  10   0  10   0
LFK  94  73  92  75 /  10   0  50   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...20